Cystatin C- and Creatinine-based Estimated GFR Differences: Prevalence and Predictors in the UK Biobank.

Rationale & Objective: Large differences between estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR) based on cystatin C (eGFRcys) and creatinine (eGFRcr) occur commonly. A comprehensive evaluation of factors that contribute to these differences is needed to guide the interpretation of discrepant eGFR values. Study Design: Cohort study. Setting & Participants: 468,969 participants in the UK Biobank. Exposures: Candidate sociodemographic, lifestyle factors, comorbidities, medication usage, and physical and laboratory predictors. Outcomes: eGFRdiff, defined as eGFRcys minus eGFRcr, categorized into 3 levels: lower eGFRcys (eGFRdiff, less than -15 mL/min/1.73 m2), concordant eGFRcys and eGFRcr (eGFRdiff, -15 to < 15 mL/min/1.73 m2), and lower eGFRcr (eGFRdiff, ≥15 mL/min/1.73 m2). Analytical Approach: Multinomial logistic regression models were constructed to identify predictors of lower eGFRcys or lower eGFRcr. We developed 2 prediction models comprising 375,175 participants: (1) a clinical model using clinically available variables and (2) an enriched model additionally including lifestyle variables. The models were internally validated in an additional 93,794 participants. Results: Mean ± standard deviation of eGFRcys was 88 ± 16 mL/min/1.73 m2, and eGFRcr was 95 ± 13 mL/min/1.73 m2; 25% and 5% of participants were in the lower eGFRcys and lower eGFRcr groups, respectively. In the multivariable enriched model, strong predictors of lower eGFRcys were older age, male sex, South Asian ethnicity, current smoker (vs never smoker), history of thyroid dysfunction, chronic inflammatory disease, steroid use, higher waist circumference and body fat, and urinary albumin-creatinine ratio >300 mg/g. Odds ratio estimates for these predictors were largely inverse of those in the lower eGFRcr group. The model's area under the curve was 0.75 in the validation set, with good calibration (1.00). Limitations: Limited generalizability. Conclusions: This study highlights the multitude of demographic, lifestyle, and health characteristics that are associated with large eGFRdiff. The clinical model may identify individuals who are likely to have discrepant eGFR values and thus should be prioritized for cystatin C testing.

Estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR) based on cystatin C and creatinine may differ substantially within an individual. Although most clinicians are aware that creatinine is influenced by muscle mass, there are additional numerous lifestyle and health characteristics that may affect serum concentrations of either biomarker. Our analyses of 468,969 individuals in the UK Biobank identified independent predictors of large differences between eGFR based on cystatin C and eGFR based on creatinine, which may inform the interpretation of discrepant eGFR values within an individual. We developed models that may be implemented at a population level to help health systems identify individuals who are likely to have large differences between eGFR based on cystatin C and eGFR based on creatinine and thus should be prioritized for cystatin C testing.

Intensive Blood Pressure Lowering in Individuals With Low Diastolic Blood Pressure and Elevated Troponin Levels in SPRINT.

BACKGROUND: Among individuals with hypertension and low diastolic blood pressure (DBP), the optimal BP target remains controversial due to concerns that BP lowering may reduce coronary perfusion. We determined the impact of intensive BP control among individuals with elevated systolic BP who have low DBP and elevated hs-cTnT (high-sensitivity cardiac troponin T) levels. METHODS AND RESULTS: A total of 8828 participants in SPRINT (Systolic Blood Pressure Intervention Trial) were stratified by baseline DBP. Those with low DBP (<70 mm Hg) were further stratified by elevated hs-cTnT (≥14 ng/L) at baseline. The effects of intensive versus standard BP lowering on a cardiovascular disease composite end point, all-cause death, and 1-year change in hs-cTnT were determined. The combination of low DBP/high hs-cTnT was independently associated with a higher risk for cardiovascular disease and all-cause death, as well as greater 1-year increases in hs-cTnT, compared with DBP ≥70 mm Hg. However, randomization to intensive versus standard BP lowering led to similar reductions in cardiovascular disease risk among individuals with low DBP/high hs-cTnT (hazard ratio [HR], 0.82 [95% CI, 0.57-1.19]), low DBP/low hs-cTnT (HR, 0.48 [95% CI, 0.29-0.79]), and DBP ≥70 mm Hg (HR, 0.73 [95% CI, 0.60-0.89]; P for interaction=0.20). Intensive BP lowering also led to a reduction in all-cause death that was similar across groups (P for interaction=0.57). CONCLUSIONS: In this nonprespecified subgroup analysis of SPRINT, individuals with low DBP and elevated hs-cTnT, low DBP and nonelevated hs-cTnT, and DBP ≥70 mm Hg derived similar cardiovascular disease and mortality benefits from intensive BP lowering. These findings warrant confirmation in other studies.

Association of Urinary Dickkopf-3 Levels with Cardiovascular Events and Kidney Disease Progression in Systolic Blood Pressure Intervention Trial.

BACKGROUND: Urinary Dickkopf-3 (uDKK3) is a tubular epithelial-derived profibrotic protein secreted into the urine under tubular stress. It is associated with kidney disease progression in persons with chronic kidney disease (CKD) and diabetes, and post-operative and contrast-associated acute kidney injury (AKI). We explored associations of uDKK3 with cardiovascular disease (CVD), kidney and mortality outcomes within the subset of Systolic Blood Pressure Intervention Trial (SPRINT) participants with non-diabetic CKD. METHODS: We included 2,344 participants with estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR) <60 ml/min/1.73 m2 at baseline. We used Cox proportional hazards models to evaluate associations of uDKK3 with CVD (acute decompensated heart failure, myocardial infarction, acute coronary syndrome, stroke or CVD death), kidney outcomes (incident end stage kidney disease [ESKD], incident AKI, and eGFR decline ≥30%), and all-cause mortality. We used linear mixed models to examine the association of uDKK3 with annual percentage change in eGFR. Models were adjusted for demographic and clinical characteristics, eGFR and albuminuria. RESULTS: Over a median follow up of 3.5 years, there were 292 CVD, 73 ESKD, 183 AKI, 471 eGFR decline, and 228 mortality events. In multivariable models without adjustment for eGFR and albuminuria, uDKK3 was strongly associated with CVD, ESKD, AKI, eGFR decline ≥30%, and mortality. However, after further adjustment for eGFR and albuminuria, uDKK3 was no longer associated with risks for composite CVD (hazard ratio [HR] 1.07, 95% confidence interval [CI] 0.92-1.23), ESKD (0.80; 0.62-1.02), AKI (1.01; 0.85-1.21), eGFR decline >30% (0.88; 0.79-0.99) or mortality (1.02; 0.87-1.20). For the linear eGFR change outcome, higher uDKK3 also had no association in the fully adjusted model (-0.03; -0.41-0.36). CONCLUSIONS: Among individuals with hypertension and non-diabetic CKD, higher uDKK3 appeared to have associations with a greater risk of CVD events, incident ESKD, incident AKI, eGFR decline ≥30%, and mortality, but was not independent of eGFR and albuminuria.

Factors Influencing Career Choice of Allergy and Immunology Fellows-in-Training: A Work Group Report of the AAAAI Program Directors Assembly Executive Committee.

BACKGROUND: As the burden of allergic and immunologic disease continues to increase, there is increased demand for a larger Allergy and Immunology (AI) subspecialty workforce. The field must prioritize the expansion of our workforce and the recruitment of exceptional and diverse trainees to ensure the vitality of the specialty. Although the AI fellowship match has traditionally been competitive, recent trends in fellowship applications have demonstrated fewer applicants per fellowship position. This trend has made recruitment a priority on the agenda of the national AI societies. OBJECTIVE: To elucidate key factors influencing the decision to choose the field of AI by querying fellows-in-training. METHODS: A survey was created and distributed yearly to fellows-in-training from 2017 to 2021 to identify factors influencing a career choice in AI. RESULTS: Approximately 59% of respondents rotated with AI in residency and 35% in both medical school and residency. Most respondents reported having a mentor in the field before fellowship, and many had their first exposures to AI during medical school (40%) or residency (32%). Most respondents decided to pursue AI during residency. The most common factors that influenced the decision to pursue AI were work/life balance, clinical aspects of the field, mentorship, and research opportunities. CONCLUSIONS: Our data suggest that the decision to pursue a career in AI often occurs during residency training and is motivated primarily by work/life balance, clinical aspects of the field, and clinician mentorship. Our survey results could provide guidance to AI training programs on strategies to recruit exceptional and diverse trainees.

Associations of Lower Extremity Muscle Strength, Area, and Specific Force with Lower Urinary Tract Symptoms in Older Men: the Baltimore Longitudinal Study of Aging.

BACKGROUND: Lower urinary tract symptoms (LUTS) in older men are associated with increased risk of mobility limitations. Lower extremity muscle quality may represent a novel shared mechanism of both LUTS and mobility limitations. METHODS: We evaluated associations of thigh skeletal muscle measures (strength, area, and specific force) with total LUTS severity (American Urologic Association Symptom Index; AUASI) and voiding and storage subscores among 352 men aged ≥60 years enrolled in the Baltimore Longitudinal Study of Aging. Thigh muscle strength (Nm) was defined as maximum concentric 30°/s knee extensor torque, area (cm2), and specific force (Nm/cm2) defined as strength/area. Associations with AUASI score were estimated using multivariable linear regression and linear mixed models. RESULTS: Mean thigh muscle strength at baseline was 139.7Nm. In cross-sectional multivariable models, each 39Nm increment in thigh muscle strength and 0.28Nm/cm2 increment in specific force was associated with -1.17 point (95%CI -1.93, -0.41) and -0.95 point (95%CI -1.63,-0.27) lower AUASI score, respectively. Similar associations were observed for voiding and storage subscores, although somewhat attenuated. In longitudinal analyses, baseline muscle measures were not associated with annual change in AUASI and current changes in muscle measures and AUASI were unrelated. CONCLUSIONS: Cross-sectionally, higher thigh muscle strength and specific force were associated with decreased LUTS severity in older men. However, we did not observe concurrent worsening LUTS severity with declining thigh muscle strength, area, or specific force in longitudinal analyses.

Mediation analysis of chronic kidney disease risk factors using kidney biomarkers in women living with HIV.

OBJECTIVE: Novel urinary biomarkers reflecting kidney tubule health are associated with chronic kidney disease (CKD) risk in persons living with HIV. However, it is unknown whether these biomarkers provide mechanistic insight into the associations between clinical risk factors for CKD and subsequent CKD risk. METHODS: Among 636 women living with HIV in the Women's Interagency HIV Study with estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR) >60 ml/min/1.73 m 2 , we used a counterfactual approach to causal mediation analysis to evaluate the extent to which systolic blood pressure (SBP), diastolic blood pressure (DBP), hemoglobin a1c (Hba1c) and serum albumin associations with incident CKD were mediated by eight urine proteins. These biomarkers reflect proximal tubular reabsorptive dysfunction (α1-microglobulin [a1m], ß2-microglobulin, trefoil factor 3); tubular injury (interleukin 18 [IL-18], kidney injury molecule 1 [KIM-1]); kidney repair (epidermal growth factor); tubular reserve (uromodulin); and glomerular injury (urinary albumin). Incident CKD was defined as eGFR <60 ml/min/1.73 m 2 measured at two consecutive 6-month visits with an average annual eGFR decline ≥3% per year. RESULTS: During a median follow-up of 7 years, 11% developed CKD. Urinary albumin and KIM-1 mediated 32% (95% CI: 13.4%, 76.6%) and 23% (6.9%, 60.7%) of the association between SBP and incident CKD, respectively; and 19% (5.1%, 42.3%) and 22% (8.1%, 45.7%) of the association between DBP and incident CKD, respectively. Urinary albumin, α1m, and IL-18 were significant mediators of the association between Hba1c and incident CKD. None of the eight biomarkers mediated the association between serum albumin and incident CKD. CONCLUSIONS: Among women living with HIV, several urinary biomarkers reflecting distinct dimensions of kidney health may partially explain the associations between SBP, DBP, and Hba1c and subsequent CKD risk.

Association of urine biomarkers of kidney health with subclinical cardiovascular disease among men with and without HIV.

OBJECTIVE: The aim of this study was to determine whether urine biomarkers of kidney health are associated with subclinical cardiovascular disease among men with and without HIV. DESIGN: A cross-sectional study within the Multicenter AIDS Cohort Study (MACS) among 504 men with and without HIV infection who underwent cardiac computed tomography scans and had urine biomarkers measured within the preceding 2 years. METHODS: Our primary predictors were four urine biomarkers of endothelial (albuminuria), proximal tubule dysfunction (alpha-1-microglobulin [A1 M] and injury (kidney injury molecule-1 [KIM-1]) and tubulointerstitial fibrosis (pro-collagen-III N-terminal peptide [PIIINP]). These were evaluated for association with coronary artery calcium (CAC) prevalence, CAC extent, total plaque score, and total segment stenosis using multivariable regression. RESULTS: Of the 504 participants, 384 were men with HIV (MWH) and 120 were men without HIV. In models adjusted for sociodemographic factors, cardiovascular disease risk factors, eGFR, and HIV-related factors, each two-fold higher concentration of albuminuria was associated with a greater extent of CAC (1.35-fold higher, 95% confidence interval 1.11-1.65), and segment stenosis (1.08-fold greater, 95% confidence interval 1.01-1.16). Associations were similar between MWH and men without HIV in stratified analyses. The third quartile of A1 M showed an association with greater CAC extent, total plaque score, and total segment stenosis, compared with the lowest quartile. CONCLUSION: Worse endothelial and proximal tubule dysfunction, as reflected by higher urine albumin and A1 M, were associated with greater CAC extent and coronary artery stenosis.

Modification of Association of Cystatin C With Kidney and Cardiovascular Outcomes by Obesity.

RATIONALE & OBJECTIVE: Cystatin C-based estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFRcys) has stronger associations with adverse clinical outcomes than creatinine-based eGFR (eGFRcr). Obesity may be associated with higher cystatin C levels, independent of kidney function, but it is unknown whether obesity modifies associations of eGFRcys with kidney and cardiovascular outcomes. STUDY DESIGN: Cohort study. SETTING & PARTICIPANTS: 27,249 US adults in the Reasons for Geographic and Racial Differences in Stroke Study. PREDICTORS: eGFRcys, eGFRcr, waist circumference, and body mass index (BMI). OUTCOME: All-cause mortality, kidney failure, incident atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease (ASCVD), and incident heart failure (HF). ANALYTICAL APPROACH: Multivariable Cox and Fine-Gray models with multiplicative interaction terms were constructed to investigate whether waist circumference quartiles or BMI categories modified associations of eGFRcys with risks of 4 clinical outcomes. RESULTS: Participants had a mean age of 65 years; 54% were women, 41% were Black, and 21% had an eGFRcys<60mL/min/1.73m2. The baseline prevalence of abdominal obesity (waist circumference≥88cm for women or≥102cm for men) was 48% and obesity was 38%. In multivariable adjusted analyses, each 15mL/min/1.73m2 lower eGFRcys was associated with higher HR and 95% CI of mortality in each waist circumference quartile (first quartile, 1.19 [1.15-1.24]; second quartile, 1.22 [1.18-1.26]; third quartile, 1.20 [1.16-1.24]; fourth quartile, 1.19 [1.15-1.23]) as well as within each BMI category (BMI<24.9: 1.21 [1.17-1.25]; BMI 25.0-29.9: 1.21 [1.18-1.25]; BMI 30.0-34.9: 1.20 [1.16-1.25]; BMI≥35: 1.17, [1.12-1.22]). Neither waist circumference nor BMI modified the association of eGFRcys with mortality, kidney failure, incident ASCVD, or incident HF (all Pinteraction>0.05). LIMITATIONS: Included only Black and White persons in the United States. CONCLUSION: Obesity did not modify the association of eGFRcys with all-cause mortality, kidney failure, incident ASCVD, or incident HF. Among individuals with obesity, cystatin C may be used to provide eGFR-based risk prognostication for adverse outcomes. PLAIN-LANGUAGE SUMMARY: Cystatin C is increasingly used in clinical practice to estimate kidney function, and cystatin C-based eGFR (eGFRcys) may be used to determine risk for adverse clinical outcomes. Adiposity may increase serum levels of cystatin C, independent of kidney function. This cohort study investigated whether associations of eGFRcys with adverse kidney and cardiovascular outcomes are modified by measures of obesity, waist circumference, and body mass index. We found that obesity does not modify associations of eGFRcys with 4 clinical outcomes and conclude that among individuals with obesity, cystatin C may be used to provide eGFR-based risk prognostication for adverse outcomes.

Skeletal Muscle Health, Physical Performance, and Lower Urinary Tract Symptoms in Older Adults: the Study of Muscle, Mobility and Aging (SOMMA).

BACKGROUND: Lower urinary tract symptoms (LUTS) and mobility limitations are bidirectionally associated among older adults, but the role of skeletal muscle remains unknown. We evaluated cross-sectional associations of muscle health and physical performance with LUTS. METHODS: We used data from 377 women and 264 men age>70 years in the Study of Muscle, Mobility and Aging (SOMMA). LUTS and urinary bother were assessed using the LURN Symptom Index-10 (SI-10;higher=worse symptoms). Muscle mass and volume were assessed using D3-creatine dilution (D3Cr) and magnetic resonance imaging. Grip strength and peak leg power assessed upper/lower extremity physical performance. 400m walk, Short Physical Performance Battery (SPPB), and Four Square Step Test (FSST) assessed global physical performance. Mobility Assessment Tool-short form (MAT-sf) assessed self-reported mobility. We calculated Spearman correlation coefficients adjusted for age, BMI, multimorbidity, and polypharmacy, chi-square tests, and Fisher's Z-test to compare correlations. RESULTS: Among women, LURN SI-10 total scores were inversely correlated with FSST (rs=0.11,P=0.045), grip strength (rs=-0.15,P=0.006), and MAT-sf (rs=-0.18,P=0.001), but not other muscle and physical performance measures in multivariable models. LURN SI-10 was not associated with any of these measures among men. 44% of women in the lowest tertile of 400m walk speed versus 24% in the highest tertile reported they were at least "somewhat bothered" by urinary symptoms (P<0.001) whereas differences among men were not significant. CONCLUSIONS: Balance and grip strength were associated with LUTS severity in older women but not men. Associations with other muscle and physical performance measures varied by LUTS subtype but remained strongest among women.

Ambulatory urine biomarkers associations with acute kidney injury and hospitalization in people with HIV.

BACKGROUND: People with HIV (PWH) generally have worse ambulatory levels of kidney injury biomarkers and excess risk of acute kidney injury (AKI) compared to persons without HIV. We evaluated whether ambulatory measures of subclinical kidney injury among PWH are associated with subsequent AKI. METHODS: In the Predictors of Acute Renal Injury Study (PARIS), which enrolled 468 PWH from April 2016 to August 2019, we measured 10 urine biomarkers of kidney health (albumin, a1m, b2M, NGAL, IL18, KIM-1, EGF, UMOD, MCP-1, YKL40) at baseline and annually during follow-up. Using multivariable Cox regression models, we evaluated baseline and time-updated biomarker associations with the primary outcome of AKI (≥0.3 mg/dl or ≥1.5-times increase in serum creatinine from baseline) and secondary outcome of all-cause hospitalization. RESULTS: At baseline, the mean age was 53 years old, and 45% self-identified as female. In time-updated models adjusting for sociodemographic factors, comorbidities, albuminuria, estimated glomerular filtration rate, and HIV-associated factors, higher KIM-1 [hazard ratio (HR) = 1.30 per twofold higher; 95% confidence interval (CI) 1.03-1.63] and NGAL concentrations (HR = 1.24, 95% CI 1.06-1.44) were associated with higher risk of hospitalized AKI. Additionally, in multivariable, time-updated models, higher levels of KIM-1 (HR = 1.19, 95% CI 1.00, 1.41), NGAL (HR = 1.13, 95% CI 1.01-1.26), and MCP-1 (HR = 1.20, 95% CI 1.00, 1.45) were associated with higher risk of hospitalization. CONCLUSIONS: Urine biomarkers of kidney tubular injury, such as KIM-1 and NGAL, are strongly associated with AKI among PWH, and may hold potential for risk stratification of future AKI.

In-Office Amoxicillin to Increase Graded-Dose Challenges at Initial Evaluation for Penicillin Allergy.

BACKGROUND: More than 90% of pediatric patients labeled with a penicillin allergy can tolerate subsequent treatment courses without reaction. Graded-dose challenges (GDCs) are an important tool to clarify reported penicillin allergy. OBJECTIVE: To increase the use of same-day amoxicillin GDCs among patients with a low-risk penicillin allergy history who presented for outpatient allergy office evaluation from 2% to 15% and sustain for 6 months. METHODS: New patients evaluated in an academic pediatric allergy clinic with a documented penicillin allergy were included, regardless of reason for referral. The percentage of these patients who were administered a GDC to amoxicillin at the initial evaluation was assessed over time. Multiple interventions were implemented to increase same-day GDC: amoxicillin, previously only available from pharmacy, was made available in clinic, and penicillin-allergic patients were scheduled earlier in the clinic session. RESULTS: The baseline rate of new patients with penicillin allergy who received a GDC increased from 2% to 18% after amoxicillin was stocked in the allergy clinic. GDCs further increased to 34% after penicillin-allergic patients were scheduled at a time conducive to challenge. CONCLUSIONS: Amoxicillin availability in the clinic setting increased the percentage of eligible patients who completed same-day GDCs. Scheduling adjustments further increased the ability to conduct GDCs. Proactive penicillin allergy delabeling efforts can be assisted through practical approaches in the outpatient setting.

Associations of Urine Biomarkers of Kidney Tubule Health With Incident Hypertension and Longitudinal Blood Pressure Change in Middle-Aged Adults: The CARDIA Study.

BACKGROUND: Urine biomarkers of kidney tubule injury associate with incident hypertension in older adults with comorbidities, but less is known about these associations in younger adults. METHODS: In 1170 participants of the CARDIA study (Coronary Artery Risk Development in Young Adults; mean age, 45 years; 40% Black people; 56% women) without hypertension, cardiovascular disease, or kidney disease at baseline, we examined associations of urine MCP-1 (monocyte chemoattractant protein-1), α1m (alpha-1-microglobulin), KIM-1 (kidney injury molecule-1), EGF (epidermal growth factor), IL (interleukin)-18, YKL-40 (chitinase-3-like protein 1), and UMOD (uromodulin) with incident hypertension (onset of systolic blood pressure [BP] ≥130 mm Hg or diastolic BP ≥80 mm Hg or initiation of hypertension medications) and longitudinal BP change in models adjusted for hypertension risk factors, estimated glomerular filtration rate, and albuminuria. RESULTS: After a median 9.9 (interquartile range, 5.9-10.2) years, 376 participants developed incident hypertension. In demographic-adjusted analyses, higher tertiles of EGF associated with lower risk of incident hypertension in both Black and White participants. After multivariable adjustment, the risk of incident hypertension remained lower in tertile 2 (hazard ratio, 0.70 [95% CI, 0.50-0.97]) and tertile 3 (hazard ratio, 0.58 [0.39-0.85]) of EGF versus tertile 1. In fully adjusted models, participants in EGF tertile 3 had smaller 10-year increases in systolic (-3.4 [95% CI, -6.1 to -0.7] mm Hg) and diastolic BP (-2.6 [95% CI, -4.6 to -0.6] mm Hg) than tertile 1. Other biomarkers showed inconsistent associations with incident hypertension and BP change. CONCLUSIONS: In middle-aged adults without hypertension, cardiovascular disease, or kidney disease, higher urine EGF associated with lower risk of incident hypertension and lower 10-year BP elevations.

Tubular Secretory Solute Clearance and HIV Infection.

BACKGROUND: Tubular secretion is an important kidney function responsible for the clearance of numerous medications, including antibiotics and antivirals. It is unknown whether persons living with HIV have lower secretion compared with HIV-uninfected persons, which might predispose them to the risk of progressive kidney disease or adverse drug events. SETTING AND METHODS: We evaluated a panel of 6 endogenous secretory solutes in 199 women living with HIV (WLWH) and 100 women without HIV enrolled in the Women's Interagency HIV Study. Secretory clearance was estimated as the urine-to-plasma ratio of each solute, with adjustment for urine tonicity. Using multivariable linear regression analysis, we compared differences in levels of secretory solute clearance between women with and without HIV and evaluated characteristics associated with secretion. RESULTS: WLWH were older (median 40 vs. 38 years) but had similar estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR, 96 vs. 100 mL/minute/1.73 m 2 ) compared with those without HIV. African American and Latino race, diabetes, diastolic blood pressure, smoking, hepatitis C, peak HIV viral load, and current and nadir CD4 count were associated with differences in clearance of at least 1 marker after multivariable adjustment. The secretory clearance of 3 solutes (cinnamoylglycine, kynurenic acid, and pyridoxic acid) were on average 10%-15% lower among WLWH compared with those without HIV independent of eGFR, albuminuria and chronic kidney disease risk factors, including HCV, and injection drug use. CONCLUSIONS: HIV is associated with reduced secretion among women with preserved eGFR. The implications of these findings for drug dosing and adverse events need to be evaluated.

Differential Associations of Cystatin C Versus Creatinine-Based Kidney Function With Risks of Cardiovascular Event and Mortality Among South Asian Individuals in the UK Biobank.

Background South Asian individuals have increased cardiovascular disease and mortality risks. Reliance on creatinine- rather than cystatin C-based estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFRcys) may underestimate the cardiovascular disease risk associated with chronic kidney disease. Methods and Results Among 7738 South Asian UK BioBank participants without prevalent heart failure (HF) or atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease, we investigated associations of 4 eGFRcys and creatinine-based estimated glomerular filtration rate categories (<45, 45-59, 60-89, and ≥90 mL/min per 1.73 m2) with risks of all-cause mortality, incident HF, and incident atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease. The mean age was 53±8 years; 4085 (53%) were women. Compared with creatinine, cystatin C identified triple the number of participants with estimated glomerular filtration <45 (n=35 versus n=113) and 6 times the number with estimated glomerular filtration 45 to 59 (n=80 versus n=481). After multivariable adjustment, the eGFRcys 45 to 59 category was associated with higher risks of mortality (hazard ratio [HR], 2.38 [95% CI, 1.55-3.65]) and incident HF (sub-HR [sHR], 1.87 [95% CI, 1.09-3.22]) versus the eGFRcys ≥90 category; the creatinine-based estimated glomerular filtration rate 45 to 59 category had no significant associations with outcomes. Of the 7623 participants with creatinine-based estimated glomerular filtration rate ≥60, 498 (6.5%) were reclassified into eGFRcys <60 categories. Participants who were reclassified as having eGFRcys <45 had higher risks of mortality (HR, 4.88 [95% CI, 2.56-9.31]), incident HF (sHR, 4.96 [95% CI, 2.21-11.16]), and incident atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease (sHR, 2.29 [95% CI, 1.14-4.61]) versus those with eGFRcys ≥90; those reclassified as having eGFRcys 45 to 59 had double the mortality risk (HR, 2.25 [95% CI, 1.45-3.51]). Conclusions Among South Asian individuals, cystatin C identified a high-risk chronic kidney disease population that was not detected by creatinine and enhanced estimated glomerular filtration rate-based risk stratification for mortality, incident HF, and incident atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease.

Effect of Adopting the New Race-Free 2021 Chronic Kidney Disease Epidemiology Collaboration Estimated Glomerular Filtration Rate Creatinine Equation on Racial Differences in Kidney Disease Progression Among People With Human Immunodeficiency Virus: An Observational Study.

BACKGROUND: The impact of adopting a race-free estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR) creatinine (eGFRcr) equation on racial differences in chronic kidney disease (CKD) progression among people with human immunodeficiency virus (PWH) is unknown. METHODS: We defined eGFR stages using the original race-adjusted Chronic Kidney Disease Epidemiology Collaboration (CKD-EPI) eGFRcr equation and the new race-free CKD-EPI eGFRcr equation. We then estimated 5-year probabilities of transitioning from baseline kidney function to more advanced eGFR stages and examined the association of race (black vs white) with rates of CKD progression using Markov models. RESULTS: With the race-adjusted eGFRcr equation, black participants (n = 31 298) had a lower risk of progressing from eGFR stage 1 to 2 (hazard ratio [HR], 0.77; 95% confidence interval [CI], .73-.82), an equal risk of progressing from stage 2 to 3 (1.00; .92-.07) and a 3-fold risk of progressing from stage 3 to 4 or 5 (3.06; 2.60-3.62), compared with white participants (n = 27 542). When we used the race-free eGFRcr equation, 16% of black participants were reclassified into a more severe eGFR stage at baseline. The reclassified black individuals had a higher prevalence of CKD risk factors than black PWH who were not reclassified. With the race-free eGFRcr equation, black participants had a higher risk of disease progression across all eGFR stages than white participants. CONCLUSIONS: The original eGFRcr equation systematically masked a subgroup of black PWH who are at high-risk of CKD progression. The new race-free eGFRcr equation unmasks these individuals and may allow for earlier detection and management of CKD.

Estimated Kidney Tubular Secretion and Kidney, Cardiovascular, and Mortality Outcomes in CKD: The Systolic Blood Pressure Intervention Trial.

Rational & Objective: Many drugs, metabolites, and toxins are cleared by the kidneys via tubular secretion. Whether novel endogenous measures of tubular secretion provide information about kidney, cardiovascular, and mortality risk is uncertain. Study Design: Longitudinal subgroup analysis of clinical trial participants. Setting & Participants: 2,089 Systolic Blood Pressure Intervention Trial participants with estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR) <60 mL/min/1.73 m2 at baseline. Exposure: Summary score incorporating urine-to-plasma ratios of 10 endogenous secretion markers measured in paired urine and plasma samples at baseline. Outcome: The primary outcome was longitudinal change in eGFR. Secondary outcomes included chronic kidney disease (CKD) progression (≥50% eGFR decline or incident kidney failure requiring dialysis or kidney transplantation), a cardiovascular disease (CVD) composite (myocardial infarction, acute coronary syndrome, stroke, acute decompensated heart failure, or death from cardiovascular causes), and mortality. Analytical Approach: Linear mixed-effect models were used to evaluate the association between the secretion score and change in eGFR, and Cox proportional hazards models were used to evaluate associations with CKD progression, CVD, and mortality. Results: At baseline, mean age was 73 ± 9 years and eGFR was 46 ± 11 mL/min/1.73 m2. During a median follow-up of 3.3 years, mean change in eGFR was -1.44% per year, and 72 CKD progression events, 272 CVD events, and 144 deaths occurred. In multivariable analyses, lower secretion score was associated with faster eGFR decline and greater risk of CKD progression, CVD, and mortality. After further adjustment for baseline eGFR and albuminuria, each 1-standard deviation lower secretion score was associated with faster eGFR decline (-0.65% per year; 95% CI, -0.84% to -0.46%), but not CKD progression (HR, 1.23; 95% CI, 0.96-1.58), CVD (HR, 1.02; 95% CI, 0.89-1.18), or mortality (HR, 0.90; 95% CI, 0.74-1.09). The secretion score association with eGFR decline appeared stronger in participants with baseline eGFR <45 mL/min/1.73 m2 (P for interaction < 0.001). Limitations: Persons with diabetes and proteinuria >1 g/d were excluded. Conclusions: Among SPRINT participants with CKD, lower estimated tubular secretion was associated with faster eGFR decline, independent of baseline eGFR and albuminuria, but not with CKD progression, CVD, or mortality.

Albuminuria testing and nephrology care among insured US adults with chronic kidney disease: a missed opportunity.

BACKGROUND: In chronic kidney disease (CKD), assessment of both estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR) and albuminuria are necessary for stratifying risk and determining the need for nephrology referral. The Kidney Disease: Improving Global Outcomes clinical practice guidelines for CKD recommend nephrology referral for eGFR < 30 ml/min/1.73m2 or for urinary albumin/creatinine ratio ≥ 300 mg/g. METHODS: Using a national claims database of US patients covered by commercial insurance or Medicare Advantage, we identified patients with CKD who were actively followed in primary care. We examined receipt of nephrology care within 1 year among these patients according to their stage of CKD, classified using eGFR and albuminuria categories. Multivariable logistic regression was used to examine odds of receiving nephrology care by CKD category, adjusting for age, sex, race/ethnicity, diabetes, heart failure, and coronary artery disease. RESULTS: Among 291,155 patients with CKD, 55% who met guideline-recommended referral criteria had seen a nephrologist. Receipt of guideline-recommended nephrology care was higher among those with eGFR < 30 (64%; 11,330/17738) compared with UACR ≥300 mg/g (51%; 8789/17290). 59% did not have albuminuria testing. Those patients without albuminuria testing had substantially lower adjusted odds of recommended nephrology care (aOR 0.47 [0.43, 0.52] for eGFR < 30 ml/min/1.73m2). Similar patterns were observed in analyses stratified by diabetes status. CONCLUSIONS: Only half of patients meeting laboratory criteria for nephrology referral were seen by a nephrologist. Underutilization of albuminuria testing may be a barrier to identifying primary care patients at elevated kidney failure risk who may warrant nephrology referral.

Assessment of Cystatin C Level for Risk Stratification in Adults With Chronic Kidney Disease.

Importance: Kidney function is usually estimated from serum creatinine level, whereas an alternative glomerular filtration marker (cystatin C level) associates more closely with future risk of cardiovascular disease (CVD) and mortality. Objectives: To evaluate whether testing concordance between estimated glomerular filtration rates based on cystatin C (eGFRcys) and creatinine (eGFRcr) levels would improve risk stratification for future outcomes and whether estimations differ by age. Design, Setting, and Participants: A prospective population-based cohort study (UK Biobank), with participants recruited between 2006-2010 with median follow-up of 11.5 (IQR, 10.8-12.2) years; data were collected until August 31, 2020. Participants had eGFRcr greater than or equal to 45 mL/min/1.73 m2, albuminuria (albumin <30 mg/g), and no preexisting CVD or kidney failure. Exposures: Chronic kidney disease status was categorized by concordance between eGFRcr and eGFRcys across the threshold for hronic kidney disease (CKD) diagnosis (60 mL/min/1.73 m2). Main Outcomes and Measures: Ten-year probabilities of CVD, mortality, and kidney failure were assessed according to CKD status. Multivariable-adjusted Cox proportional hazards models tested associations between CVD and mortality. Area under the receiving operating curve tested discrimination of eGFRcr and eGFRcys for CVD and mortality. The Net Reclassification Index assessed the usefulness of eGFRcr and eGFRcys for CVD risk stratification. Analyses were stratified by older (age 65-73 years) and younger (age <65 years) age. Results: There were 428 402 participants: median age was 57 (IQR, 50-63) years and 237 173 (55.4%) were women. Among 76 629 older participants, there were 9335 deaths and 5205 CVD events. Among 351 773 younger participants, there were 14 776 deaths and 9328 CVD events. The 10-year probability of kidney failure was less than 0.1%. Regardless of the eGFRcr, the 10-year probabilities of CVD and mortality were low when eGFRcys was greater than or equal to 60 mL/min/1.73 m2; conversely, with eGFRcys less than 60 mL/min/1.73 m2, 10-year risks were nearly doubled in older adults and more than doubled in younger adults. Use of eGFRcys better discriminated CVD and mortality risk than eGFRcr. Across a 7.5% 10-year risk threshold for CVD, eGFRcys improved case Net Reclassification Index by 0.7% (95% CI, 0.6%-0.8%) in older people and 0.7% (95% CI, 0.7%-0.8%) in younger people; eGFRcr did not add to CVD risk estimation. Conclusions and Relevance: The findings of this study suggest that eGFRcr 45 to 59 mL/min/1.73 m2 includes a proportion of individuals at low risk and fails to capture a substantial proportion of individuals at high-risk for CVD and mortality. The eGFRcys appears to be more sensitive and specific for CVD and mortality risks in mild CKD.

A Machine Learning Model for Predicting Mortality within 90 Days of Dialysis Initiation.

Background: The first 90 days after dialysis initiation are associated with high morbidity and mortality in end-stage kidney disease (ESKD) patients. A machine learning-based tool for predicting mortality could inform patient-clinician shared decision making on whether to initiate dialysis or pursue medical management. We used the eXtreme Gradient Boosting (XGBoost) algorithm to predict mortality in the first 90 days after dialysis initiation in a nationally representative population from the United States Renal Data System. Methods: A cohort of adults initiating dialysis between 2008-2017 were studied for outcome of death within 90 days of dialysis initiation. The study dataset included 188 candidate predictors prognostic of early mortality that were known on or before the first day of dialysis and was partitioned into training (70%) and testing (30%) subsets. XGBoost modeling used a complete-case set and a dataset obtained from multiple imputation. Model performance was evaluated by c-statistics overall and stratified by subgroups of age, sex, race, and dialysis modality. Results: The analysis included 1,150,195 patients with ESKD, of whom 86,083 (8%) died in the first 90 days after dialysis initiation. The XGBoost models discriminated mortality risk in the nonimputed (c=0.826, 95% CI, 0.823 to 0.828) and imputed (c=0.827, 95% CI, 0.823 to 0.827) models and performed well across nearly every subgroup (race, age, sex, and dialysis modality) evaluated (c>0.75). Across predicted risk thresholds of 10%-50%, higher risk thresholds showed declining sensitivity (0.69-0.04) with improving specificity (0.79-0.99); similarly, positive likelihood ratio was highest at the 40% threshold, whereas the negative likelihood ratio was lowest at the 10% threshold. After calibration using isotonic regression, the model accurately estimated the probability of mortality across all ranges of predicted risk. Conclusions: The XGBoost-based model developed in this study discriminated risk of early mortality after dialysis initiation with excellent calibration and performed well across key subgroups.